will be presenting a new preliminary electricity consumption estimate for 2030 today. A detailed new calculation of the electricity consumption will be published in autumn 2021. Prognos AG will by then have concluded a study commissioned by the Economic Affairs Ministry.
Federal Minister Peter Altmaier said: "The revision of the Climate Action Act and our new ambitious climate targets, which were adopted by the Bundestag and the Bundesrat at the end of June, require an adjustment of our analyses of electricity consumption in 2030. We are presenting preliminary estimates today. Because one thing is clear: in the long run, our energy supply will primarily be based on two energy sources, namely electricity from renewable energies, and hydrogen which is produced on the basis of electricity from renewable energies."
According to a preliminary estimate of electricity consumption for 2030 by Prognos AG on behalf of the Federal Ministry for Economic Affairs and Energy, electricity consumption in 2030 will range between 645 and 665 tetrawatt hours; the mean value of the forecast stands at 655 tetrawatt hours. The forecast is based on the assumption that there will be 14 million electric vehicles, 6 million heat pumps and 30 tetrawatt hours of electricity for green hydrogen. A detailed analysis will follow in autumn 2021.